Crazy Jumping Frog

Crazy Junping Frog

Crazy Jumping Frog can jump forward at a distance either 1 foot or 2 feet. The probability it jumps 1 foot forward is $p$, and the probability it jumps 2 feet is $1-p$. Assume that each jump is independent and the frog has infinite amount of energy 🙂

  1. What the expected distance after the frog making $n$ jumps?
  2. If there is an uncovered well $n$ feet away from the frog, what is the probability that the frog fells into the well if it jumps forward trying to pass the well?

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